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Braves Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds & Trends – 8/14/2022


The Miami Marlins (50-64) carry a three-game losing streak into a contest against the Atlanta Braves (68-46) on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET. Atlanta (-141 to win) has Bryce Elder set to start, while Miami (+119) counters Braxton Garrett.

The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of August 14, 2022 at 7:31 AM ET.

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Braves vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Elder (ATL) Pitcher Garrett (MIA)
1 – 3 W/L 2 – 6
21.1 IP 62.2
5.48 ERA 4.02
1.734 WHIP 1.197
5.9 K/9 9.9
5.9 BB/9 2

Braves Probable Starter Bryce Elder

  • Elder gets the start for the Braves, his fifth of the season. He is 1-3 with a 5.48 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 21 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came in relief on Saturday, Aug. 6 when the right-hander tossed 2 2/3 innings against the New York Mets, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • In five games this season, the 23-year-old has a 5.48 ERA and 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .277 to opposing batters.
  • The opposing Marlins offense has a collective .234 batting average, and is 21st in the league with 893 total hits and 27th in MLB play with 429 runs scored. It has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.370) and ranks 22nd in home runs (104) in all of MLB.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 14, 2022 at 7:31 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Elder

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Garrett Cooper 2 1.000 2 0 1 1.000 2.000
Joey Wendle 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.500
Jesús Aguilar 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Jacob Stallings 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500
Jon Berti 1 1.000 1 0 0 1.000 2.000

Marlins Probable Starter Braxton Garrett

  • Garrett (2-6) will take the mound for the Marlins, his 13th start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 4.02, a 4.929 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.197 in 12 games this season.
  • In 12 starts this season, he’s earned three quality starts.
  • The Braves have scored 553 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They are batting .250 for the campaign with 176 home runs, second in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 14, 2022 at 7:31 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Garrett

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Dansby Swanson 2 .000 0 0 1 .000 .000
Travis d’Arnaud 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.500
Austin Riley 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500
Guillermo Heredia 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves have put together a 60-28 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 68.2% of those games).
  • Atlanta is 53-21 (winning 71.6% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -141 or shorter.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Braves a 58.5% chance to win.
  • Atlanta has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 59 times this season for a 59-51-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Braves have a 57-58-0 record ATS this season (covering 49.6% of the time).

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Marlins Betting Trends

  • This season, the Marlins have been the underdog 64 times and won 21, or 32.8%, of those games.
  • Miami has a record of 10-27, a 27% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +119 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 45.7%.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 50 of their 114 opportunities.
  • In 114 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 51-63-0 ATS.

Braves Players to Watch

  • Austin Riley has racked up a team-best slugging percentage (.582) while leading the Braves in hits (131). He’s hitting .294 with 34 doubles, two triples, 30 home runs and 35 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB action, Riley ranks 23rd in batting average, 32nd in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging.
  • Matt Olson is batting .250 with 36 doubles, 24 home runs and 56 walks.
  • Among the qualifying hitters, Olson ranks 91st in batting average, 62nd in on-base percentage, and 22nd in slugging.
  • Olson has safely hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with three home runs, two walks and five RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson is hitting .289 with 24 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr.’s .361 on-base percentage leads his team, and he has 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .273.
  • Acuna has hit safely in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .348 with a home run, a walk and an RBI.

Braves Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Dansby Swanson 447 .289 73 16 61 .344 .798
Austin Riley 445 .294 67 30 74 .356 .938
Matt Olson 444 .250 58 24 76 .337 .830
Marcell Ozuna 411 .212 50 20 46 .261 .653
Ronald Acuña Jr. 311 .273 49 10 29 .361 .773
Robbie Grossman 288 .208 25 2 24 .315 .603
Travis d’Arnaud 272 .257 40 11 40 .308 .749
Michael Harris 242 .289 43 11 37 .328 .824
William Contreras 212 .259 30 15 30 .338 .862
Eddie Rosario 144 .188 15 3 17 .237 .549

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Jesus Aguilar leads Miami in slugging percentage (.400) thanks to 32 extra-base hits.
  • Aguilar ranks 110th in batting average, 134th in on-base percentage and 97th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Miguel Rojas has collected 79 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .283.
  • Among all qualified hitters, Rojas’ batting average puts him 122nd, his on-base percentage ranks 138th, and he is 139th in slugging.
  • Garrett Cooper leads his team in OBP (.346) and total hits (87) this season.
  • Jon Berti has two home runs, 19 RBI and a batting average of .269 this season.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 385 .239 36 15 46 .288 .688
Miguel Rojas 345 .229 29 6 28 .283 .611
Garrett Cooper 320 .272 28 7 42 .346 .765
Jacob Stallings 259 .212 22 3 26 .276 .558
Joey Wendle 223 .265 15 2 24 .307 .666
Jon Berti 201 .269 32 2 19 .359 .732
Brian Anderson 188 .261 27 4 13 .350 .744
Nick Fortes 108 .241 23 4 15 .311 .718
Luke Williams 94 .255 17 1 6 .314 .665
JJ Bleday 72 .208 7 2 3 .296 .671

Braves vs Marlins Player Props

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