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Brewers Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Odds & Trends – 7/1/2021

Luis Urias leads the Milwaukee Brewers (48-33) into a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (29-50) after his four-hit outing in a 15-7 win over the Cubs. The Brewers are favorites (-240) for this tilt against the underdog Pirates (+200), which starts at 7:05 PM ET on Thursday. Milwaukee has Corbin Burnes starting, while Pittsburgh will counter with Wil Crowe.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of July 1, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Brewers vs Pirates Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Burnes (MIL) Pitcher Crowe (PIT)
3 – 4 W/L 1 – 4
74.2 IP 45.2
2.53 ERA 6.50
0.920 WHIP 1.620
13.9 K/9 7.9
1.7 BB/9 4.3

Brewers Probable Starter Corbin Burnes

  • Burnes (3-4) takes the mound first for the Brewers in his 14th start of the season. He has a 2.53 ERA in 74 2/3 innings pitched, with 115 strikeouts.
  • In his last appearance on Friday against the Rockies, the right-hander threw six innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
  • He will face off against a Pirates offense that ranks 24th in the league with 597 total hits (on a.229 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .352 (30th in the league) with 59 total home runs (30th in MLB play).
  • The Brewers have a 6-7 record in Burnes’ 13 starts this season when they were favored on the moneyline.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 1, 2021 at 2:20 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Pirates Stats vs Burnes

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Adam Frazier 12 .333 4 0 1 .333 .666
Jacob Stallings 10 .300 3 0 1 .364 .664
Kevin Newman 10 .100 1 0 1 .182 .282
Erik González 9 .222 2 0 0 .222 .778
Bryan Reynolds 8 .375 3 0 1 .444 .944
Gregory Polanco 8 .125 1 0 0 .222 .347
Colin Moran 6 .167 1 0 0 .444 .611
Phillip Evans 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Ka’ai Tom 2 .500 1 0 1 .500 2.000

Pirates Probable Starter Wil Crowe

  • Crowe (1-4) will take the mound for the Pirates, his 11th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw five innings against the Cardinals, giving up four earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • The Brewers are batting .218 this season, 30th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .378 (25th in the league) with 98 home runs.
  • His team has won 36.4% of his starts when they are underdogs on the moneyline (4-7).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 1, 2021 at 2:20 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Brewers Stats vs Crowe

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Luis Urías 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Willy Adames 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Manny Piña 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Avisaíl García 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jackie Bradley Jr. 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jace Peterson 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Brewers Betting Trends

  • The Brewers score an average of 4.2 runs per road game compared to 4.4 per contest at home.
  • The Brewers are the 15th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.3 runs per game (350 total).
  • The Brewers are 34-23 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 59.6% of those games).
  • Milwaukee has played in six games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -240 or shorter and won each of them.
  • In the 81 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Milwaukee, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 39 times (39-39-3).
  • Milwaukee has a 9-1 record from the 10 games it was favored on the moneyline over its last 10 matchups.

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Pirates Betting Trends

  • The Pirates are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 29th with just 277 total runs (3.5 per game) this season.
  • In 37 home games this season, they’ve scored 4.1 runs per contest compared to the 3.0 per game they score away from PNC Park.
  • The Pirates have won 25, or 34.7%, of the 72 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has won two of its five games when they’re the underdog by at least +200 on the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of their 79 opportunities.
  • In nine games over the last 10 matchups when set as the underdog by bookmakers, Pittsburgh has a record of 4-5.

Brewers Players to Watch

  • Urias has 14 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 28 walks while batting .247.
  • Among the qualified hitters in baseball, Urias’ hitting stats are not among league batting leaders in MLB.
  • Omar Narvaez’s .294 batting average leads his team.

Brewers Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Avisaíl García 255 .239 35 15 46 .302 .745
Luis Urías 247 .247 38 10 39 .333 .766
Jackie Bradley Jr. 231 .165 23 5 21 .243 .520
Kolten Wong 194 .294 30 7 20 .346 .836
Omar Narváez 180 .294 27 7 23 .389 .850
Christian Yelich 154 .247 34 5 23 .391 .787
Willy Adames 132 .197 16 5 15 .254 .625
Willy Adames 132 .280 20 7 28 .362 .885
Keston Hiura 131 .160 15 4 15 .250 .563
Tyrone Taylor 112 .223 11 6 17 .307 .727

Pirates Players to Watch

  • Bryan Reynolds is batting .316 this season with a team-high 14 home runs and 45 RBI.
  • Reynolds ranks 14th in hits (87), 11th in AVG (.316), ninth in SLG (.542), and fourth in OBP (.401) among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Reynolds enters this game on a 14-game hitting streak, during which he’s hitting .436 with four homers.
  • Adam Frazier is batting .327 to lead Pittsburgh, while adding four homers and 28 runs batted in this season.
  • Frazier’s 100 hits rank second, his .327 AVG ranks sixth, his .395 OBP ranks seventh, and his .471 SLG ranks second among all qualified batters in the league.

Pirates Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Adam Frazier 306 .327 50 4 28 .395 .866
Bryan Reynolds 275 .316 45 14 45 .401 .943
Kevin Newman 264 .208 24 2 12 .250 .515
Grégory Polanco 220 .195 23 9 23 .263 .622
Erik González 217 .230 17 2 21 .257 .557
Jacob Stallings 196 .224 18 5 31 .312 .690
Phillip Evans 172 .203 20 5 13 .290 .604
Colin Moran 157 .280 11 4 23 .345 .759
Ben Gamel 110 .227 10 2 6 .287 .651
Ka’ai Tom 105 .143 10 2 12 .279 .517

Brewers vs Pirates Player Props

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