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Padres Vs Reds: MLB Betting Odds & Trends – 6/30/2021

The San Diego Padres (48-33) visit the Cincinnati Reds (39-39) at 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, providing a matchup between two top-10 power hitters. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 25 home runs (third in the league) for the favored Padres (-186), and Jesse Winker is eighth in MLB play with 19 long balls this season for the underdog Reds (+160). Joe Musgrove starts for San Diego while Cincinnati will counter with Vladimir Gutierrez.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of June 30, 2021, 6:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Padres vs Reds Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Musgrove (SD) Pitcher Gutierrez (CIN)
4 – 6 W/L 3 – 2
85.0 IP 34.0
2.22 ERA 3.97
0.820 WHIP 1.320
10.9 K/9 7.1
1.9 BB/9 4.2

Padres Probable Starter Joe Musgrove

  • Musgrove gets the start for the Padres, his 15th of the season. He is 4-6 with a 2.22 ERA and 103 strikeouts in 85 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Thursday against the Dodgers, the right-hander went six innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering two hits.
  • He meets a Reds offense that ranks sixth in the league with 388 total runs scored while batting .248 as a squad. His opponent has a collective .419 slugging percentage (eighth in MLB action) and has hit a total of 103 home runs (eighth in the league).
  • The Padres have an 11-5 record in Musgrove’s 16 starts this season when they were the moneyline favorite.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 30, 2021 at 6:16 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Stats vs Musgrove

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Joey Votto 16 .312 5 1 3 .389 1.014
Eugenio Suárez 14 .286 4 1 2 .333 .904
Nick Castellanos 13 .231 3 0 0 .231 .539
Jesse Winker 12 .083 1 0 0 .154 .237
Tyler Naquin 10 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Tucker Barnhart 9 .222 2 1 1 .300 .856
Kyle Farmer 4 .000 0 0 0 .200 .200
Jonathan India 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Shogo Akiyama 3 .667 2 0 0 .667 1.334

Reds Probable Starter Vladimir Gutierrez

  • Gutierrez (3-2) will take to the mound for the Reds and make his seventh start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw six innings against the Braves, giving up three earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The Padres rank 10th in MLB with 370 runs scored this season. They have a .240 batting average this campaign with 96 home runs (14th in the league).
  • When he is the starting pitcher, Cincinnati has a record of 2-2 this season when they are the underdog on the moneyline.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 30, 2021 at 6:16 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Padres Stats vs Gutierrez

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Jurickson Profar 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Tommy Pham 3 .667 2 0 0 .667 2.000
Wil Myers 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 1.000
Eric Hosmer 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Webster Rivas 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Jake Cronenworth 2 .500 1 1 2 .667 2.667
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2 .500 1 0 0 .667 1.167
Manny Machado 2 .500 1 0 3 .667 1.667
Trent Grisham 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Padres Betting Trends

  • The Padres’ offense is averaging 4.8 runs in road games and 4.4 per contest when they play at home.
  • The Padres score the 10th-most runs in baseball (370 total, 4.6 per game).
  • The Padres are 41-23 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 64.1% of those games).
  • San Diego has a 21-11 record (winning 65.6% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -186 or shorter.
  • San Diego has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 81 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 43 of those games (43-36-2).
  • San Diego was favored on the moneyline in nine of its last 10 games, and finished 8-1 in those matchups.

Reds Betting Trends

  • The Reds are among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking sixth with 388 total runs this season.
  • In home games this season, they have scored a total of 220 runs (5.8 per game) while pushing across 168 total away from Great American Ball Park, an average of 4.2 per contest.
  • The Reds have been underdogs in 34 games this season and won 15 (44.1%) of those contests.
  • This season, Cincinnati has won three of its six games when they’re the underdog by at least +160 on the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of their 78 games with a total.
  • Cincinnati has played as the underdog in four of its past 10 games and won one of those contests.

Padres Players to Watch

  • Tatis leads the Padres in home runs (25), runs batted in (55) and has a team-best batting average of .295.
  • Among qualifying hitters in MLB action, Tatis’ 25 HR rank third, his 55 RBI rank fourth, his .295 AVG ranks 16th, and his .375 OBP ranks 18th.
  • Jake Cronenworth is batting .285 with 17 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 27 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters in baseball, Cronenworth ranks 15th in hits (85), and 25th in AVG (.285).

Padres Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jake Cronenworth 298 .285 55 12 34 .353 .830
Manny Machado 265 .260 39 12 50 .331 .788
Eric Hosmer 264 .250 24 6 36 .307 .659
Tommy Pham 240 .263 41 9 27 .384 .813
Wil Myers 224 .250 22 8 28 .315 .721
Fernando Tatis Jr. 224 .295 59 25 55 .375 1.067
Jurickson Profar 213 .221 32 1 17 .323 .605
Trent Grisham 189 .275 27 8 25 .361 .853
Ha-Seong Kim 171 .211 17 5 21 .267 .624
Victor Caratini 169 .219 20 6 28 .304 .665

Reds Players to Watch

  • Winker is batting .324 this season with a team-high 19 home runs.
  • Winker ranks ninth in hits (89), sixth in AVG (.324), fourth in OBP (.400), and eighth in HR (19) among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Nicholas Castellanos leads Cincinnati in runs batted in (50) this season. He’s batting .342 while slugging .596.
  • Among qualified hitters, Castellanos ranks second in AVG (.342), ninth in OBP (.389), first in SLG (.596), 21st in RBI (50), and first in hits (100) in the league.

Reds Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Nicholas Castellanos 292 .342 52 15 50 .389 .985
Eugenio Suárez 284 .173 38 16 44 .256 .626
Jesse Winker 275 .324 55 19 48 .400 .996
Jonathan India 223 .265 36 6 30 .372 .771
Tyler Naquin 218 .252 25 12 46 .317 .785
Kyle Farmer 215 .214 22 5 24 .285 .597
Tucker Barnhart 179 .263 29 4 25 .345 .758
Joey Votto 178 .247 20 9 33 .327 .765
Tyler Stephenson 167 .269 31 5 21 .374 .799
Shogo Akiyama 74 .230 7 0 6 .288 .558

Padres vs Reds Player Props

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