After two wildly successful editions of The Match, Tom Brady and Phil Mickelson will team up on the course again. The duo faces a pairing of Aaron Rodgers and Bryson DeChambeau in the fourth overall edition of The Match.
Mickelson is 2-1 all time in golf exhibition. The first go-around featured a head-to-head matchup between Mickelson and Tiger Woods in 2018, with Mickelson winning after four playoff holes and taking home the $9 million prize purse.
A second edition added Peyton Manning (partnered with Woods) and Brady (partnered with Mickelson) in May 2020, where Woods and Manning won by a single hole. The winnings from Part 2 were donated to COVID-19 relief. Part 3 saw Mickelson and Charles Barkley take on Manning and Stephen Curry in November 2020, where Mickelson again won.
The Match 4 is slated for July 6.
The betting market
The Rodgers and DeChambeau pair are -160 opening favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook, with Mickelson and Brady being listed at +140 underdogs. That’s an implied probability of 61.5% the DeChambeau pairing will win.
One casino in Las Vegas sees it differently. Stations Casino opened Mickelson and Brady as -130 favorites, with Rodgers and DeChambeau +110 underdogs.
Coming off a historic PGA Championship victory, Mickelson moved up the World Golf Rankings to 32nd, catapulting up from 115th before the win. DeChambeau, on the other hand, is ranked fourth (up from fifth before the Championship). The course at hand– Moonlight Basin in Big Sky, Montana– benefits DeChambeau’s driving at high altitude.
Tom Brady has an official handicap of 8.1, according to Golf.com. While that’s good for pedestrian golfers, Aaron Rodgers has an official handicap of 4.6, according to USGA, though Rodgers said in a Golf.com interview that his best is a 3.5. For reference, notoriously excellent golfer Tony Romo carries a 0.4.
When comparing the numbers, it’s no surprise that Rodgers and DeChambeau are favored.
However, as both halves of the Brady-Mickelson pair have proved in just the last four months, it’s that neither of them should be counted out. Tom Brady is coming off his record-extending seventh Super Bowl victory and Mickelson that PGA Championship victory.
The Match IV Information
Who: Tom Brady and Phil Mickelson vs. Aaron Rodgers and Bryson DeChambeau
Where: Moonlight Basin, Big Sky, Montana
When: July 6, 2021
How to Watch: TNT