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Twins Vs Royals: MLB Betting Odds & Trends – 8/15/2022


The Minnesota Twins (58-55) and Kansas City Royals (48-68) square off on Monday to begin a three-game series, with the first pitch at 7:40 PM ET at Target Field. Joe Ryan takes the mound first for Minnesota (-197 to win), and Kris Bubic is Kansas City’s (+163) pick to start.

The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of August 14, 2022 at 9:24 PM ET.

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Twins vs Royals Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Ryan (MIN) Pitcher Bubic (KC)
8 – 5 W/L 2 – 6
95.2 IP 86.0
3.95 ERA 5.13
1.129 WHIP 1.558
8.7 K/9 7.6
2.4 BB/9 4.5

Twins Probable Starter Joe Ryan

  • Ryan makes the start for the Twins, his 19th of the season. He is 8-5 with a 3.95 ERA and 93 strikeouts in 95 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Wednesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, the righty threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.95, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents are batting .226 against him.
  • Ryan enters this game with six quality starts under his belt this season.
  • The opposing Royals offense has a collective .246 batting average, and is 10th in the league with 961 total hits and 24th in MLB play with 457 runs scored. It has the 20th-ranked slugging percentage (.383) and ranks 26th in home runs (99) in all of MLB.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 14, 2022 at 9:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Royals Stats vs Ryan

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Nicky Lopez 5 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Bobby Witt Jr. 4 .000 0 0 0 .200 .200
Hunter Dozier 4 .000 0 0 0 .200 .200
MJ Melendez 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Kyle Isbel 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.500
Michael A. Taylor 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Salvador Perez 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Royals Probable Starter Kris Bubic

  • Bubic (2-6) will take to the mound for the Royals and make his 19th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, giving up one earned run while allowing seven hits.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 5.13, a 1.698 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.558.
  • In 18 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in five of them.
  • The Twins have scored 505 runs this season, which ranks 15th in MLB. They are batting .250 for the campaign with 140 home runs, eighth in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 14, 2022 at 9:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Twins Stats vs Bubic

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Jorge Polanco 11 .545 6 0 1 .545 1.272
Byron Buxton 7 .571 4 0 1 .625 1.482
Jake Cave 6 .500 3 0 0 .500 1.000
Luis Arraez 5 .400 2 0 3 .286 1.086
Max Kepler 4 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Nick Gordon 2 .500 1 0 1 .500 1.000
Gilberto Celestino 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Gio Urshela 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Twins Betting Trends

  • The Twins have won 60.6% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (40-26).
  • Minnesota has a record of 9-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -197 or shorter (90%).
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Twins have an implied win probability of 66.3%.
  • Minnesota has had an over/under set by bookmakers 113 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 55 of those games (55-51-7).
  • The Twins have a 49-64-0 record against the spread this season.

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Royals Betting Trends

  • This season, the Royals have been the underdog 94 times and won 37, or 39.4%, of those games.
  • Kansas City has a record of 6-22 in games where oddsmakers have them as underogs of at least +163 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Royals, based on the moneyline, is 38%.
  • So far this season, Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 57 of their 116 games with a total.
  • The Royals are 56-60-0 ATS in their 116 games with a spread this season.

Twins Players to Watch

  • Luis Arraez has put up a .399 on-base percentage and a .441 slugging percentage, both team-best numbers for the Twins. He’s batting .333 with 21 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 40 walks.
  • Arraez ranks first in batting average, fifth in on base percentage, and 55th in slugging among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Jorge Polanco is hitting .234 with 14 doubles, 15 home runs and 59 walks.
  • Polanco ranks 117th in batting average, 52nd in on base percentage, and 91st in slugging in MLB.
  • Byron Buxton is hitting .223 with 13 doubles, three triples, 28 home runs and 30 walks. He paces the Twins with 71 hits.
  • Carlos Correa is batting .271 with 15 doubles, 14 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Correa takes a five-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with a home run, four walks and two RBI.

Twins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Luis Arraez 381 .333 61 6 37 .399 .840
Jorge Polanco 346 .234 50 15 54 .343 .748
Carlos Correa 339 .271 49 14 39 .351 .791
Gio Urshela 325 .265 40 11 47 .308 .742
Byron Buxton 319 .223 59 28 51 .303 .848
Max Kepler 314 .223 42 9 39 .321 .678
Gary Sánchez 294 .218 30 11 41 .283 .678
Jose Miranda 262 .275 29 11 47 .319 .777
Nick Gordon 246 .268 30 5 20 .317 .732
Gilberto Celestino 180 .267 18 1 12 .323 .656

Royals Players to Watch

  • Bobby Witt Jr. leads Kansas City in slugging percentage (.432) and total hits (102) this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters in MLB, Witt’s batting average ranks 84th, his on-base percentage ranks 128th, and he is 68th in slugging percentatge.
  • MJ Melendez is batting .232 with a .433 slugging percentage and 41 RBI this year.
  • Hunter Dozier leads Kansas City with an OBP of .309 this season while batting .246 with 30 walks and 39 runs scored.
  • Salvador Perez is batting .219 with a .256 OBP and 53 RBI for Kansas City this season.

Royals Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Bobby Witt Jr. 407 .251 57 15 57 .294 .726
Hunter Dozier 357 .246 39 10 35 .309 .718
Nicky Lopez 341 .243 41 0 15 .298 .585
MJ Melendez 298 .232 35 14 41 .322 .755
Salvador Pérez 292 .219 33 17 53 .256 .711
Michael A. Taylor 284 .275 34 6 30 .340 .717
Kyle Isbel 179 .223 22 3 20 .262 .620
Vinnie Pasquantino 150 .260 16 7 12 .341 .781
Ryan O’Hearn 87 .207 7 1 10 .271 .558
Nick Pratto 80 .200 9 3 8 .305 .705

Twins vs Royals Player Props

Powered By Data Skrive using data from Twins Vs Royals: MLB Betting Odds & Trends - 8/15/2022

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