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Yankees Vs Mets: MLB Betting Odds & Trends – 7/4/2021

The New York Mets (43-36) have a 2-0 series lead and will try for a sweep of the New York Yankees (41-41) on Sunday at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees are favored (-159) against the underdog Mets (+138) in the matchup, which starts at 7:08 PM ET. Nestor Cortes Jr. takes the mound first for the Yankees, and Corey Oswalt is the Mets’ pick to start.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of July 4, 2021, 6:01 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Yankees vs Mets Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

The probable pitchers for both teams have not made a start this season. Here are their stats from last season:

Cortes Jr. (NYY) Pitcher Oswalt (NYM)
0 – 1 W/L 0 – 0
7.2 IP 13.0
15.26 ERA 4.85
2.350 WHIP 1.230
9.4 K/9 7.6
7.0 BB/9 1.4

Yankees Probable Starter Nestor Cortes Jr.

  • Cortes will start for the Yankees, his first this season.
  • The 26-year-old left-hander has pitched in relief seven times this season.
  • Cortes never pitched as a moneyline favorite a season ago.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 4, 2021 at 6:07 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Cortes Jr.

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 3 .333 1 1 1 .333 1.666
Billy McKinney 2 .500 1 1 1 .500 2.500
James McCann 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Dominic Smith 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Mets Probable Starter Corey Oswalt

  • Oswalt has been named the starter for the Mets and will make his first start this season.
  • The 27-year-old righty will start for the first time this campaign after coming out of the bullpen twice.
  • The right-hander did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline underdog last season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 4, 2021 at 6:07 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Yankees Stats vs Oswalt

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Gleyber Torres 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Aaron Judge 2 .500 1 1 1 .500 2.500
Brett Gardner 2 1.000 2 0 0 1.000 2.500
Gary Sánchez 2 .500 1 1 1 .500 2.500
Giancarlo Stanton 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
DJ LeMahieu 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Yankees Betting Trends

  • The Yankees average 4.2 runs per home game compared to 4.0 per contest on the road.
  • The Yankees are the 25th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.1 runs per game (337 total).
  • The Yankees have won 50.7% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (38-37).
  • The Yankees have a record of 19-17 in games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -159 or shorter (52.8%).
  • The Yankees have played in 82 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-45).
  • The Yankees went 3-6 over the nine games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.

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Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 29th with just 293 total runs (3.7 per game) this season.
  • They’ve scored 4.0 runs per game this season on the road while averaging 3.4 at home.
  • The Mets have entered the game as underdogs 34 times this season and won 16, or 47.1%, of those games.
  • The Mets have a record of 2-5 when they’re set as the underdog by +138 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Mets and their opponents have hit the over in 33 of their 79 games with a total this season.
  • The Mets have played as the underdog in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.

Yankees Players to Watch

  • Aaron Judge paces the Yankees with 19 home runs and 43 runs batted in, while racking up a team-high batting average of .287.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB action, Judge’s 19 HR rank 13th, his .287 AVG ranks 24th, and his .380 OBP ranks 16th.
  • Judge has hit safely in six games in a row. During that streak he is hitting .348 with a double, three home runs, three walks and five RBIs.
  • Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .270 with seven doubles, 14 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB play, Stanton does not rank in the top 20 in SLG and OBP.

Yankees Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
DJ LeMahieu 315 .270 45 7 33 .343 .714
Aaron Judge 282 .287 46 19 43 .380 .908
Gio Urshela 268 .272 27 10 34 .315 .755
Gleyber Torres 260 .238 25 3 26 .328 .636
Giancarlo Stanton 226 .270 28 14 39 .362 .849
Gary Sánchez 206 .233 30 14 32 .333 .818
Brett Gardner 172 .198 20 3 11 .314 .628
Rougned Odor 153 .209 18 8 18 .284 .696
Miguel Andújar 148 .250 18 6 12 .277 .662
Tim Locastro 118 .178 11 1 5 .271 .491

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs with 14 and runs batted in with 41.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB, Alonso is not among league leaders in SLG and OBP.
  • Dominic Smith is batting .256 with an OBP of .320 and a slugging percentage of .402 this season.
  • Smith falls outside of league leaders in hits and batting average among qualified hitters in the majors.

Mets Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 284 .222 43 9 29 .316 .679
Dominic Smith 254 .256 27 9 35 .320 .722
Pete Alonso 244 .254 34 14 41 .335 .798
James McCann 216 .245 16 7 29 .308 .688
Jonathan Villar 183 .246 29 6 15 .327 .737
Kevin Pillar 180 .222 24 8 22 .263 .669
Michael Conforto 145 .207 14 2 15 .341 .638
Jeff McNeil 144 .243 18 3 10 .331 .664
José Peraza 118 .220 17 5 17 .276 .691
Billy McKinney 92 .207 9 3 6 .253 .612

Yankees vs Mets Player Props

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